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KNOWNS AND UNKNOWNS
Handicappers have no clue who will win.
My take: A Bibi loss would add more instability in the region and around the world in a week that has been pure instability so far.
U.S Reaction to Attacks on Saudi Oil Assets
The Pentagon, per always, is against using the Pentagon’s assets to further an American foreign policy goal.
President Trump, per usual, is all over the map as both a good cop and bad cop in one tweeting body.
Has the president already drawn a point-of-no-return red line?
(Hint: He doesn’t think so.)
My take: Even a small overt military action risks unintended and unanticipated consequences that could spin out of control. Donald Trump is a Chaos President, but he does not want the chaos of a new land war in the Middle East.
Implications of Attacks on Saudi Arabia
The failure of the Kingdom to have a defense system in place is as baffling as it is dangerous.
Drones are a big problem for everyone.
How much are the U.S and world economies threatened?
My take: The markets were surprisingly calm on Monday, on the assumption that the energy disruption would be short lived. The real uncertainty in DC and other world capitals was how Saudi Arabia could possibly be so baldly vulnerable to such a crippling attack on key assets.
Her mega Gotham City rally, at which she accepted the Working Families Party nod and gave a stirring address on corruption, was a show of force that no one else in the field can match.
She demonstrates stamina and energy that are two of her many assets.
(“Ms. Warren finished taking pictures around 11:40 p.m. — nearly four hours after she finished her speech.”)
(“She sprints as she enters campaign events. A video of her jogging across a grassy field at an event in New Hampshire last month went viral, and she was even caught on camera running into Penn Station in New York to catch a train earlier this year.”)
Are her big crowds a Howard Dean-like illusion or a Donald Trump-like harbinger?
(Veteran Democratic strategist Joe Trippi: “The question is, can you build beyond that core into a more diverse Democratic constituency?” Fifteen thousand people in Seattle does not equal winning South Carolina.”)
My take: Warren’s run of positive news coverage continued Monday with a major exclamation point. This one had nothing to do with press favoritism or anti-Biden sentiment. Warren’s big day was the product of hard work, a strong message, and the care and tending of her momentum.
Kavanaugh Impeachment Debate
For now, Democratic presidential candidates will keep trying to raise money and support by calling for the ouster of the SCOTUS Justice.
Congressional leaders are looking to squash this talk pronto.
Will this story still be with us by the end of the week?
My take: The media angle on this story (about the New York Times) is a subject of fascination for Donald Trump, the media, and strong partisans on both sides. But what can supporters of impeachment do now that House Judiciary Chairman Jerry Nadler has shut it down?
Presidential Fundraising Trip to California
Donald Trump will be in northern and southern California today.
The venues of his events are a secret, which is what happens these days, as bizarre as that seems.
My take: The Resistance will almost certainly hunt the presidential package down. It will be on West Coast time, so the coverage will not be as big as it might be. But the TV pictures and themes should be epic. Blue California versus The Donald.
Trump Tax Returns
The New York City DA wants the last eight years of the president’s filings.
Does this effort have a better chance to succeed than prior tries?
My take: Back to the courts we go, with the likelihood now that few of these disputes will be settled before November 2020.
Lewandowski on Capitol Hill
He is scheduled to testify today.
Is he going to say anything newsworthy?
My take: This will be theater and jousting and messy and ugly. And a test of whether House Democrats spent any of the summer learning how to run investigative hearings in a manner that furthers their interests.
Top sports story: U.S. star Morgan out for rest of NWSL season
Top business story: FAA chief to test out changes to Boeing 737 Max software in simulator
Top entertainment story: Netflix Lands Streaming Rights to ‘Seinfeld’
Low-tier candidates could threaten Sanders in New Hampshire.
Classic campaign event draws Democrats to South Carolina.
Correction: Yesterday, I typed “UWA” when I meant to type “UAW.” If you are assuming I had the University of Western Alabama on my mind, you would be wrong. I was thinking of the University of Western Australia (“Ready. Set. 2030.”)
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